Investigating potential future changes in surface water flooding hazard and impact     

Alison C. Rudd  Alison L. Kay  Steven C. Wells  Timothy Aldridge  Steven J. Cole  Elizabeth J. Kendon  Elizabeth J. Stewart 《水文研究》2020,34(1):139-149

Surface water flooding (SWF) is a recurrent hazard that affects lives and livelihoods. Climate change is projected to change the frequency of extreme rainfall events that can lead to SWF. Increasingly, data from Regional Climate Models (RCMs) are being used to investigate the potential water-related impacts of climate change; such assessments often focus on broad-scale fluvial flooding and the use of coarse resolution (>12 km) RCMs. However, high-resolution (<4 km) convection-permitting RCMs are now becoming available that allow impact assessments of more localised SWF to be made. At the same time, there has been an increasing demand for more robust and timely real-time forecast and alert information on SWF. In the UK, a real-time SWF Hazard Impact Model framework has been developed. The system uses 1-km gridded surface runoff estimates from a hydrological model to simulate the SWF hazard. These are linked to detailed inundation model outputs through an Impact Library to assess impacts on property, people, transport, and infrastructure for four severity levels. Here, a set of high-resolution (1.5 km and 12 km) RCM data has been used as input to a grid-based hydrological model over southern Britain to simulate Current (1996–2009) and Future (~2100s; RCP8.5) surface runoff. Counts of threshold-exceedance for surface runoff and precipitation (at 1-, 3- and 6-hr durations) are analysed. Results show that the percentage increases in surface runoff extremes, are less than those of precipitation extremes. The higher-resolution RCM simulates the largest percentage increases, which occur in winter, and the winter exceedance counts are greater than summer exceedance counts. For property impacts, the largest percentage increases are also in winter; however, it is the 12-km RCM output that leads to the largest percentage increase in impacts. The added-value of high-resolution climate model data for hydrological modelling is from capturing the more intense convective storms in surface runoff estimates.  相似文献   

Characterizing hydrological processes within kettle holes using stable water isotopes in the Uckermark of northern Brandenburg,Germany     

Stuart Andrew Vyse  Majid Taie Semiromi  Gunnar Lischeid  Christoph Merz 《水文研究》2020,34(8):1868-1887

Understanding the hydrologic connectivity between kettle holes and shallow groundwater, particularly in reaction to the highly variable local meteorological conditions, is of paramount importance for tracing water in a hydro(geo)logically complex landscape and thus for integrated water resource management. This article is aimed at identifying the dominant hydrological processes affecting the kettle holes' water balance and their interactions with the shallow groundwater domain in the Uckermark region, located in the north-east of Germany. For this reason, based on the stable isotopes of oxygen (δ¹⁸O ) and hydrogen (δ²H ), an isotopic mass balance model was employed to compute the evaporative loss of water from the kettle holes from February to August 2017. Results demonstrated that shallow groundwater inflow may play the pivotal role in the processes taking part in the hydrology of the kettle holes in the Uckermark region. Based on the calculated evaporation/inflow (E/I) ratios, most of the kettle holes (86.7%) were ascertained to have a partially open, flow-through-dominated system. Moreover, we identified an inverse correlation between E/I ratios and the altitudes of the kettle holes. The same holds for electrical conductivity (EC) and the altitudes of the kettle holes. In accordance with the findings obtained from this study, a conceptual model explaining the interaction between the shallow groundwater and the kettle holes of Uckermark was developed. The model exhibited that across the highest altitudes, the recharge kettle holes are dominant, where a lower ratio of E/I and a lower EC was detected. By contrast, the lowest topographical depressions represent the discharge kettle holes, where a higher ratio of E/I and EC could be identified. The kettle holes existing in between were categorized as flow-through kettle holes through which the recharge takes place from one side and discharge from the other side.  相似文献   

Stormwater control impacts on runoff volume and peak flow: A meta-analysis of watershed modelling studies     

Colin D. Bell  Jordyn M. Wolfand  Chelsea L. Panos  Aditi S. Bhaskar  Ryan L. Gilliom  Terri S. Hogue  Kristina G. Hopkins  Anne J. Jefferson 《水文研究》2020,34(14):3134-3152

Decades of research has concluded that the percent of impervious surface cover in a watershed is strongly linked to negative impacts on urban stream health. Recently, there has been a push by municipalities to offset these effects by installing structural stormwater control measures (SCMs), which are landscape features designed to retain and reduce runoff to mitigate the effects of urbanisation on event hydrology. The goal of this study is to build generalisable relationships between the level of SCM implementation in urban watersheds and resulting changes to hydrology. A literature review of 185 peer-reviewed studies of watershed-scale SCM implementation across the globe was used to identify 52 modelling studies suitable for a meta-analysis to build statistical relationships between SCM implementation and hydrologic change. Hydrologic change is quantified as the percent reduction in storm event runoff volume and peak flow between a watershed with SCMs relative to a (near) identical control watershed without SCMs. Results show that for each additional 1% of SCM-mitigated impervious area in a watershed, there is an additional 0.43% reduction in runoff and a 0.60% reduction in peak flow. Values of SCM implementation required to produce a change in water quantity metrics were identified at varying levels of probability. For example, there is a 90% probability (high confidence) of at least a 1% reduction in peak flow with mitigation of 33% of impervious surfaces. However, as the reduction target increases or mitigated impervious surface decreases, the probability of reaching the reduction target also decreases. These relationships can be used by managers to plan SCM implementation at the watershed scale.  相似文献   

Compartmentalisation and groundwater–surface water interactions in a prospective shale gas basin: Assessment using variance analysis and multivariate statistics on water quality data     

Miles P. Wilson  Fred Worrall  Sarah A. Clancy  Chris J. Ottley  Alwyn Hart  Richard J. Davies 《水文研究》2020,34(15):3271-3294

An environmental concern with hydraulic fracturing for shale gas is the risk of groundwater and surface water contamination. Assessing this risk partly involves the identification and understanding of groundwater–surface water interactions because potentially contaminating fluids could move from one water body to the other along hydraulic pathways. In this study, we use water quality data from a prospective shale gas basin to determine: if surface water sampling could identify groundwater compartmentalisation by low-permeability faults; and if surface waters interact with groundwater in underlying bedrock formations, thereby indicating hydraulic pathways. Variance analysis showed that bedrock geology was a significant factor influencing surface water quality, indicating regional-scale groundwater–surface water interactions despite the presence of an overlying region-wide layer of superficial deposits averaging 30–40 m thickness. We propose that surface waters interact with a weathered bedrock layer through the complex distribution of glaciofluvial sands and gravels. Principal component analysis showed that surface water compositions were constrained within groundwater end-member compositions. Surface water quality data showed no relationship with groundwater compartmentalisation known to be caused by a major basin fault. Therefore, there was no chemical evidence to suggest that deeper groundwater in this particular area of the prospective basin was reaching the surface in response to compartmentalisation. Consequently, in this case compartmentalisation does not appear to increase the risk of fracking-related contaminants reaching surface waters, although this may differ under different hydrogeological scenarios.  相似文献   

地表覆盖分类成果质量特征分析   总被引：1，自引：1，他引：0  

商建伟 《测绘通报》2020,(9):159-161

自我国全面建成地理国情普查成果库之后，工作重心由全面普查变为重点监测。不论普查还是监测，准确地对地表覆盖进行分类一直是工作的重点和难点。在常态化监测阶段，把握地表覆盖分类成果的主要质量指标，归纳其诸如变化率、变化区域分布、变化类型，分析影响其成果质量的主要因素，对监测生产组织及质量控制具有非常重要的作用。  相似文献   

郯庐断裂带中南段及邻区基于背景噪声的瑞利波群速度层析成像   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1       下载免费PDF全文

顾勤平  丁志峰  康清清  李大虎 《地球物理学报》2020,63(4):1505-1522

本文收集了郯庐断裂带中南段及邻区省属和市县地震台网共261个宽频带地震台站2015年1月至2016年12月间的垂直向连续波形资料,利用长时间序列背景噪声互相关法提取台站对之间的经验格林函数,采用时频分析法提取瑞利面波混合路径频散曲线.通过质量控制和严格筛选后得到了15627条路径上的群速度频散曲线,重新构建了郯庐断裂带中南段及邻区瑞利波5～50s、分辨率为0.75°×0.75°的群速度分布图像.分析研究了6个周期的群速度分布图像和3条不同方向的纵向周期剖面,这些图像揭示了郯庐断裂带中南段及邻区地壳上地幔速度结构具有横向分块和纵向成层的非均匀性特征.结果表明,短周期(6s、10s)的群速度分布与地表地质和构造特征密切相关.拥有较厚沉积层的苏北盆地、合肥盆地及河淮盆地等显示为低速,而基岩广泛出露的鲁西隆起、大别—苏鲁造山带、扬子克拉通及华南褶皱系则呈现出大面积的高速异常.随着周期的递增(15s、20s),群速度分布受地表地质构造的影响逐渐弱化.受地壳厚度和莫霍面附近的速度差异影响,大别和苏鲁地区在较长周期(25s、30s)群速度图上表现出相对较低的速度,这可能与这些地方Moho面埋藏较深有关.纵向剖面显示,苏鲁—大别造山带及其高压、超高压变质带不仅在浅地表具有基本相同的地形地貌和构造特征,地壳内也有着极为相似的Rayleigh波群速度分布特征.壳内群速度分布总体上表现为上凸下凹状,形状似一"哑铃".上地壳具有上凸下凹的形态、相比邻区具有较高的群速度值;中地壳低速;下地壳上凸下凹且埋藏较深,反映出具有陆陆碰撞造山的残留山根特征.苏鲁及大别两地自浅地表至上地幔具有相似的Rayleigh波群速度分布不仅为二者被左旋走滑的郯庐带平移错开提供了佐证资料,同时也为郯庐带的形成与演化提供了地震学依据.  相似文献   

多时相Landsat影像的平原河网区不透水面信息提取方法与应用     

周峰  廖钰冰  李娜 《测绘通报》2020,(1):94

不透水面是衡量城市生态环境的重要指标，针对平原河网区不透水面与水体、裸土等地物较难区分的问题，以苏北里下河平原快速城镇化区为研究对象，利用多时相Landsat影像为数据源，基于像元光谱特征及其季节性变化分析，构建了基于时序NDWI、NDVI和NDBI的决策树模型，并利用GIS空间分析技术对不透水面的时空变化特征进行了分析。结果表明：多时相光谱信息可有效改善水体、裸土和稀疏植被等像元与不透水面的混分，2005年和2016年的不透水面分类总体精度和Kappa系数均在0.85以上，合理反映了不透水面以向东和向南扩张为主的趋势特征，年均扩张速度约为6.7 km²。研究成果为该区城镇化下的生态环境效应研究提供数据基础，同时可为其他平原河网区不透水面信息提供借鉴和参考。  相似文献   

数字正射影像结合LiDAR数据在山区测绘中的应用     

严慧敏 《测绘通报》2020,(1):115-119

随着信息化社会的到来，现代水利测绘已经由传统测绘向信息化测绘发展，无人机技术应用于测绘行业推进了信息化测绘进程。本文探讨了如何有效利用无人机技术解决测绘领域在山区遇到的问题。固定翼无人机能及时获取地面数字正射影像数据，捕获裸露地面的平面和高程，但是无法获取植被覆盖下的地表高程信息，因此，本文通过机载激光雷达获取植被覆盖下的LiDAR点云数据；将二者数据相结合，再通过EPS软件生成三维地表模型，可以快速获取任何测区地物和地形数据，不仅提高了工作效率，还降低了外业劳动强度。  相似文献   

刘家峡水库西南部水域表层沉积物重金属污染评价   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

刘翔  郭建明  樊海龙  张生银  张顺存  雷天柱  王建丰 《沉积与特提斯地质》2020,40(4):1-10

为了研究刘家峡水库西南部水域表层沉积物中重金属的污染状况，对采集的55个表层沉积物样品中的6种重金属元素Cr、Cd、Ni、Cu、Zn和Pb的含量进行测试，其平均含量分别为77.03μg/g、0.16μg/g、33.53μg/g、32.09μg/g、291.77μg/g、22.44μg/g。在研究表层沉积物重金属含量空间分布的基础上，运用单因子污染指数法、内梅罗综合污染指数法、地累积指数法、潜在生态风险指数法，综合判断水库的受污染程度并对其潜在生态风险进行评估。6种元素的地累积指数排序依次为：Zn > Cu > Cd > Ni > Pb > Cr；潜在生态风险系数排序依次为：Cd > Cu > Pb > Zn > Ni > Cr；各区域重金属污染程度或潜在生态风险水平依次为黄河主河道 > 大夏河河口 > 黄河横剖面。综合4种方法的评价结果，认为对刘家峡水库西南部表层沉积物重金属污染及潜在生态风险评价贡献率较高的重金属污染因子是Zn、Cu和Cd；综合相关性分析与主成分分析，认为研究区沉积物重金属污染主要来源于两个方面：（1） Zn、Cu主要来源于生活污染或工业污染；（2） Cd主要来源于工农业活动产生的污染。  相似文献   

A review of fully coupled atmosphere-hydrology simulations     

Ning  Like  Zhan  Chesheng  Luo  Yong  Wang  Yueling  Liu  Liangmeizi 《地理学报(英文版)》2019,29(3):465-479

Journal of Geographical Sciences - The terrestrial hydrological process is an essential but weak link in global/regional climate models. In this paper, the development status, research hotspots and...  相似文献